miércoles, 2 de noviembre de 2016

MercatorNet: The elections you probably never heard about

MercatorNet: The elections you probably never heard about

The elections you probably never heard about



The elections you probably never heard about

Lithuania votes for family values and economic socialism.
Dovilas Petkus | Nov 2 2016 | comment 2 


Casting a vote in Vilnius, Lithuania, Oct. 23, 2016. Photo: AP via VOA

With the eyes of the world focused on the presidential election in the United States, there is little chance that you have heard about the parliamentary elections in a certain Central–East European country. Yet although the US population is more than 100 times that of Lithuania, the core issue for many voters in this Baltic country is the same as for many Americans: distrust of the governing class. The result after the second round of the Lithuanian elections (half of the members of parliament are elected from party lists and another half by counties) ‑ an absolute victory for the Peasant–Green Union ‑ was not merely a surprise to the political elite of the nation; it was a total shock.
Two decades of national decline
Since independence from the Soviet Union in 1990 and the first free elections in 1992, the political landscape of the Republic of Lithuania has been dominated by the same political elite and its two major parties. The Christian Democrats and the former local communist party, now called the Social Democrats, formed the Conservative Homeland Union.
Every four years, for the most part, these two parties exchanged governmental positions by promising a better life to the Lithuanian people. However, mass migration to other European Union countries and a dramatic demographic decline of the nation (from a population of about three million people, Lithuania loses about 30,000 inhabitants every year on average) did not stop. Lithuania became one of the most rapidly declining nations in the world. Dissatisfaction with this situation persisting after two decades has finally resulted in a first time victory for a third party: the Peasant-Green Union.
The social justice gap
According to economists, one of the main reasons why voters changed their beliefs completely and voted for a new party was the lack of social justice. Social injustice created by a non-progressive or even regressive financial system resulted in a one of the biggest social gaps within EU countries. It became obvious that there are two Lithuanias instead of one. A wealthy, Western paid, happy Lithuania whose inhabitants mostly reside in the capital city of Vilnius, and the rest of Lithuania where people try to survive on several hundred euros per month. Tremendous financial inequality and the extinction of the middle class led to mass migration to other EU states, such as Great Britain.
In contrast with the liberal agenda of the major parties (even the Social Democrats lean this way), the programme of the Peasant and Green Union included a much more left-wing economic agenda, especially on property taxing and a more generous distribution of the money to the most vulnerable groups, and this seems to have attracted a great number of people. There is no doubt that majority of people here are socially conservative, and yet they also want a welfare state more sensitive to their needs. Since the gap between GDP per person and the median wage is the biggest among the EU states, fair redistribution of public finances became more and more important issue and resulted in the outcome of the election.  
Peasant and Green Union – new Christian Democrats?
It has to be said that Lithuania’s Greens are not a typical Western Green party. Although it pays a lot of attention to environmental problems, the programme of this party and the rhetoric of its leader Ramūnas Karbauskis (who personally considers himself a pagan) is very conservative on moral issues, despite its socialist economics. Opponents call this new party “unknown” because of the new political faces, and its ideology “untrustworthy”, but the Peasant-Green Union agenda actually represents one of the most popular ideologies in Europe – that of Christian democrats. Family life, patriotism and social justice (a bigger state) were always the key elements of Christian democracy in Europe, and it looks as though in Lithuania this kind of ideology will be represented by the Peasant-Green Union.
When so-called Christian Democrats working together in one party with Conservatives were becoming more and more liberal on moral issues, and Social Democrats were becoming more and more liberal economically, a huge political niche was discovered by the Peasant-Green coalition and its leader Ramūnas Karbauskis. While the new leader of the Conservative-Christian Democrat Party is willing to pass a homosexual partnership law and does not question the practice of abortion in Lithuania, Mr Karbauskis and his party said that they would be against both of these moves, a position usually held by Conservative Party in the past. When Social Democrats, who ran the government for the last four years, passed one the most liberal labor codes in the EU it became obvious that the political elite of Lithuania had lost touch with the nation.
A great desire on the part of both Conservatives and Social Democrats to compete for liberal voters finally resulted in a great loss of their own electorate. Trying to sit on two chairs (liberal-conservative and liberal-socialistic) ended up by landing on the ground.
Peasant-Green Union: novelty in patriotism
One factor in the electoral success of the Peasant-Green Union was a new type of rhetoric about patriotism and national interests. According to political scientist Vytautas Sinica, the leaders were the first ones to raise the issues of the possible threats of globalization and European integration to the national interests of Lithuania. No party before said that mass migration from Lithuania might result not simply in a temporary decline of our labor force, but may lead to a total extinction of the state within 30 years. No party before said that Lithuania should support the Visegrad states (Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic and Slovakia) in their demand for complete reform of the EU integration project. No party or its leaders had declared that the education system first of all has to be oriented to patriotism and loyalty to the nation and not only to preparing a highly skilled labor force for the markets. A huge number of people who were not represented for years on these ideas, saw new hope in the Peasant-Green alliance.
New policy in Central-Eastern Europe
Some are now saying that the recent election result in Lithuania reflects the victory of Prawo I Sprawiedliwosc (Law and Justice Party) in Poland last year. This party, which won an absolute majority last year from our near neighbor, also positions itself morally on the right and economically on the left. Actually this caused the total eclipse of socialist parties in Poland. When the right wing party adopted a strongly pro- social economic strategy, voters simply had no reason to vote for the socialists again.
Political scientists in Lithuania say that Mr. Karbauskis also seems to follow the style of the Law and Justice leader J. Kaczynski. Just like Mr. Kaczynski, R. Karbauskis plans not to take any governmental position but to stay in parliament and consolidate the party votes there by influencing state politics from the back seat.
It is hard to tell if the elections in Poland affected the Lithuanian people’s decision to vote for the Peasant-Green Union, but today we can say for sure that parties which combine morally right-wing and economically left-wing political agendas are a trend in the whole of Central-Eastern Europe today. Whether this political trend lasts and shapes the next two decades in the region remains to be seen.
Dovilas Petkus is a post-graduate student of European Affairs at Vilnius University, a policy analyst at the Statehood Studies Center (Valstybingumo studijų centras), and a board member of Pro Patria, a youth movement for Catholic society and patriotism.


MercatorNet

MERCATORNET | New Media Foundation 
Suite 12A, Level 2, 5 George Street, North Strathfied NSW 2137, Australia 

Designed by elleston

New Media Foundation | Suite 12A, Level 2, 5 George St | North Strathfield NSW 2137 | AUSTRALIA | +61 2 8005 8605 

MercatorNet



Even if you do not live in the United States, the race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is sparking intense and often shrill arguments. I think that a lot of people can't wait for next Wednesday, when the result will (hopefully) be known and peace will descend upon the land -- for a while. The arguments also provoke a question which has often perplexed me: why do people with similar philosophies so often come to different conclusions when it comes time to cast a vote? 
In today's lead article, Zac Alstin attributes this difference of perception to the Four Temperaments, the ancient division of personality types. It's a very thought-provoking essay. He concludes:
When we assume that everyone shares the same basic worldview we end up frustrated at other people’s intransigence or inconsistency, their passivity or their audacity, their seriousness or their flippancy. But if we can understand the radical differences in our basic worldview we are immediately better able to get along with one another, and appreciate the strengths each temperament brings to the whole community.


Michael Cook 
Editor 
MERCATORNET

How we vote: the difference temperament makes
By Zac Alstin
Why do we find it so hard to understand our friends' choices?
Read the full article
 
The elections you probably never heard about
By Dovilas Petkus
Lithuania votes for family values and economic socialism.
Read the full article
 
Euthanasia releases me but betrays my loved ones
By Aubert Martin
What about euthanasia survivors? Who will listen to them?
Read the full article
 
Why don’t we work longer?
By Marcus Roberts
Can we afford to pay pensions from the age of 60?
Read the full article
 
Horse captures cattle rustlers
By Jennifer Minicus
A lesser-known book by a renowned author
Read the full article
 
Election 2016, one week out
By Sheila Liaugminas
How to summarize?
Read the full article
 
How a reforming pope can help heal the Reformation rift
By Austen Ivereigh
The visit of Pope Francis to Sweden is a sign of a slow thaw in relations with Lutherans
Read the full article
 
‘Peer review’, a buzzword in deep trouble
By Donna Laframboise
Medical research, psychology, and economics are all in the grip of a 'reproducibility crisis'
Read the full article


MERCATORNET | New Media Foundation 
Suite 12A, Level 2, 5 George Street, North Strathfied NSW 2137, Australia 

Designed by elleston

New Media Foundation | Suite 12A, Level 2, 5 George St | North Strathfield NSW 2137 | AUSTRALIA | +61 2 8005 8605 

No hay comentarios: